High Positivity Going Into Alcoa's $AA Earnings After the Close Today

This is an ominous setup - such high positivity is often rewarded (mildly) and occasionally punished heavily.  The expected value leans towards a selloff:  http://www.marketpsychadvisor.com/vitalsigns?ticker=AA.  We're also seeing high optimism and low pessimism:  http://www.marketpsychadvisor.com/psychchart?ticker=aa&psysig=Optimism